Extra! Extra! Cowardly peace-monger retires; glorious war on Iran to begin by June; American soldiers to be greeted as liberators (Updated)
WASHINGTON — Adm. William J. Fallon, the top American commander in the Middle East whose views on Iran and other issues have seemed to put him at odds with the Bush administration, is retiring early, the Pentagon said Tuesday afternoon.
The retirement of Admiral Fallon, 63, who only a year ago became the first Navy man to be named the commander of the United States Central Command, was announced by his civilian boss, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, who said that he accepted the admiral’s request to retire “with reluctance and regret.”
Update: Charlie, here. Check out the (fawning) profile by Thomas Barnett that served as the last straw.As head of U. S. Central Command, Admiral William "Fox" Fallon is in charge of American military strategy for the most troubled parts of the world.Actually, turns out, we here in the United States do still have something called "civilian control of the military." Looks like Fox found that out the hard way...though Charlie might be persuaded to give him a medal for avoiding another ill-fated invasion.
Update II: AM here. Just found the statement by Gates on Small Wars Journal. At two points in the press conference, Sec. Gates points his finger in Abu Muqawama's direction and judges the speculation that Adm. Fallon's departure signals some kind of shift in strategy toward Iran "ridiculous." If Abu Muqawama were at the press conference, though, he would have dusted himself off and asked what role tensions between Gen. Petraeus and Adm. Fallon might have played in all this. We hear the good general and the admiral aren't going to be taking any vacations together anytime soon.
Update III: Kip has a different take on this: I think it has little to do with Iran and only some to do with General Petraeus.
Admiral Fallon has become a vocal critic of the administration, and he is/was also the Commander of Central Command. As such, I have no angst with his resignation--it is an appropriate end when such a high level leader no longer feels himself able to act as spokesperson and executor of the policy of the Administration which he serves. It is the kind of end that would have led General Sanchez to a profile in courage rather than a date with buffoonville.
I also believe that Fallon's resignation reveals a fundamental tension that he was unable to resolve and led to the fighting with Petraeus...how important is Iraq compared to other imperatives in the Middle East?
Admiral Fallon is correct that we don't have a grand strategy for defeating extremist Islam nor for dealing with overall destabilizing conflict in the Middle East. He is also correct that our saber-rattling is not helpful when our saber is otherwise occupied.
In the end, however, he has been himself unable to articulate the strategic answers required to still unanswered questions.
For example, Iraq may be diminishing our ability to win in Afghanistan or to develop a larger framework for the Middle East. However, if we leave Iraq, does it devolve into a genocidal (as opposed to low grade) civil war used by various players (Saudi Arabia and Iran in particular) as a proxy conflict against one another? If so, do additional resources help us accomplish anything in the Middle East or does Iraq remain the ultimate distraction? Are we even able to keep out troops out in such a scenario?
In uniform, Admiral Fallon has been unable to provide a convincing strategy to the Secretary of Defense or the President beyond general opposition. If he indeed has the wherewithal to do so, he will now have both the stage and the moral authority to tell the American people and the next President how we can do better.
Update IV: AM here again. Great comments, Kip. Everyone be sure to read this staff editorial in the Wall Street Journal. The gang at the WSJ think folks in the Pentagon are undermining Petraeus, but they just don't get it. No where in the editorial is the word "Afghanistan" mentioned. Not once! Yet I suspect some of the concerns in the puzzle palace revolve around the other war, the one in Central Asia. It's not a matter of back-stabbing generals refusing to support Petraeus and the war in Iraq. It's as Kip argued, where you have a variety of national-security needs in the region and limited resources. Some flag officers favor a different balance than the administration (not without reason).
Update V: Tom Ricks has the inside scoop on likely successors.
20 comments:
Criminy! What do you think happened that prompted the admiral to offer his resignation?
i feel guilty
I think that Billy Fallon was sick and tired of working for an idiot. He engineered the resignation on his own. Bush was much too chickenshit to try to push him out.
mike
PS - So, did the Dow Jones close up by over 400 points today because of Fallon's leaving or because of a victory dance over Elliot Spitzer?
Victory dance. They hate that guy.
hey mike--
Dow Jones went up because the Fed loaned $200B to the banks. It's always about the money.
AM,
just to say I've posted a special bonus for you: it seems that Tony THOMAS has a greater role in MNFD-N today!!!)
And additionally, a link to a new blog by a Ph Doctorate in Military Geography (in French)...
Cordialement
Stéphane TAILLAT
PS: and I will not regret Admiral FALLON who seems to me like an ectoplasm
Here's another thought. Fallon steps down so that Iran pressured to cut a deal now or be bombed into stone age. If Fallon wanted to stand in the way of a war with Iran he simply needed to just stay put. If he was gonna resign should have been at decision time.
I'm thinking this is more about Bush being smart. Have Petreus getting a promotion and Chirelli become MNF-I Commander. That boxes in next administration. Of course that presumes Bush is crafty and much of the country couldn't admit to that.
I think it's unlikely Petraeus goes to CENTCOM, though I suppose anything is possible now.
Charlie is right to mention the unsavory fact that "Fox," albeit beloved by many members of the Fourth Estate, wasn't so popular at the highest levels of DoD.
While one might want to conjecture it's about Bushian intrigues to get Iran, scrap the NIE or whatever the latest conspiracy theory percolating up the tinfoil ha is today, in reality it likely boils down to personality.
Perhaps the Esquire profile touched on a certain whiff of the primadonna, the Distractor against the Decider, the military operator already eclipsed by his subordinate in Baghdad and searching for a role (the man equipoised between war and peace? come on!).
One another note, the former fighter pilot is going to be replaced by the LTG who once tried to train up the IAs under a crazy timetable provided by a previous (crazy) SecDef while serving under our current CSA (then a hapless, Westmorelandian figure).
Expect a LTC Gentile polemic forecasting the apocalypse of another one of them "COIN guys" or "MTT men" rising to the top of a command, hellbent on despoiling all our most treasured FMs that we hope someday to use in our fictive wars at NTC, if not the inconvenient real ones we face today.
It is a combination of the Esquire Piece and Petreaus
I don't think Bush would kick out an Admiral only to have him run his mouth on TV.
As I now review my sins against grammar and common spelling, I also should mention just how horrible that Esquire piece was.
"Those are fighting words to your average neocon--not to mention your average supporter of Israel, a good many of whom in Washington seem never to have served a minute in uniform. But utter those words for print and you can easily find yourself defending your indifference to "nuclear holocaust."
Is the author seriously suggesting that only those in uniform can pass judgment of American foreign policy, or that defense of our special relationship with Israel is somehow a "neo-con" or "chickenhawk" roulet with thermo-nuclear war?
What a clueless loser. Is he carrying water now for Walt and Mearsheimer?
If I still thought of Esquire as a serious magazine of literature, style and ideas, I'd have to cancel my subscription of the pisswater prose gurgling in the bowl of the latest issue.
But I long ago gave it up as a tonier Maxim or FHM, nothing more than frat boy excess about serious topics the magazine was better off avoiding.
Proof positive, thanks to the latest effort on Foxy Fallon.
soldiernolonger -
Fallon was never a fighter pilot. He started out flying reconnaisance aircraft and when the RA-5 was mothballed he transitioned to the A-6 Intruder which was an attack aircraft. You should not associate him with the white-scarf crowd. The Navy fighter jocks referred to the A-6 as butt ugly and to the A-6 pilots as dump truck drivers. However, in my recollection from a cruise in WestPac and the IO back in the late seventies, the guys in the A-6 squadron aboard were very professional - no loose cannons.
Bob -
As far as Bush being crafty, no argument from me. The guy is a snake and makes Slick Willy look like a piker. But there is a huge dichotomy between crafty and smart.
mike
PS -
Looks like the navy intends to get rid of fighter pilots starting in 2025. See LINK at http://www.defensetech.org/archives/004054.html
mike
SNLII has put together a most reasonable explanation of the events, and our Franco input is hilarious: ectoplasm, indeed!!! Reminds one of another 4- star who's reported to have tripped over his self-image as a world strategist - and ran for Prez recently. Article was begun in Oct 2007, probably final drafted about Jan 2008 (see TPM Barnett blog). Many seniors advising Prez probably presented Fallon's candidacy in light of his great and appropriate strengths, but crossed their fingers and held mental reservations about his flaws, which seem of Greek tragedian proportions. The dynamic of his firing was set in motion many months ago, and it is perhaps tragic that he will miss being part of the steering mechanisms at such an important juncture. On the other hand, ya pays yer money, ya takes yer chances. As some other poster said somewhere, there's probably too many boomer general officers in the game, need some head room for the 'Bama generation, no?
"Old soldiers never die, they just fade away."
Clearly there were bigger issues at stake and this isn't just about an article describing a man-crush. However, given that Barnett has his own blog comments heavily moderated, I'll take this opportunity to say a couple of things:
First, he is a stupid prick. Second, he is an arrogant prick. Third, he is not the strategist he thinks he is. Fourth, his books suck. Fifth, his PNM presentation is often referred to as a 'dog and pony show' by those O-6 officers forced to watch it at NDU. Seventh, he isn't actually a journalist so I don't know what he is doing with these Esquire pieces. Eighth, he has a penchant for turtlenecks.
Why is nobody talking about Thomas PM Barnett? Considering he has the ear of what seems to be so many of the flag officers and a good portion of the opinion-making chattering class. Why does it seem that there's no egg on that guy's face? By his use of language he essentially destroyed the career of a combatant commander! (granted, if it wasn't going to be TPMB's Esquire article, it might have been something else.)
I'm not the only one complaining. Tom Ricks published an article essentially chastising Barnett on the style of his article.
So I guess we forget that Barnett had anything to do with this and continue blathering on about how "visionary" his books are (essentially defining any "gap" country as a place for some sort of future intervention. This stuff is dangerous.) Or go on and on about SysAdmin/Leviathan dichotomies.
My question is when are we going to hold these hot-headed nonmilitary policy wonks accountable for their thoughts and deeds?
Anyone actually think this means the US is much more likely to attack Iran or that an attack on Iran might actually happen? Not me. But if you think that, I would be happy to place a friendly wager. . . .and Charlie knows how to find me.
In regards to Tom Barnett's Esquire article that a couple ( or possibly one) anonymous commenters are upset about, the decision to grant Barnett that kind of extended access was Admiral Fallon's. Fallon had a lot to say, on politically sensitive topics, to a guy who was a former Pentagon insider, well-known to Fallon's own peers whose writing is "on the radar" of the defense community in general and MSM reporters who cover the military/DoD/foreign policy beat.
I credit the admiral for having his own reasons for doing so and doing it with foreknowledge that the White House might not be pleased with the results.
Now that the deck has been cleared this will be a fascinating selection for CENTCOM. Whoever gets chosen has to be ok with Bush, Gates, and Mullen. You can argue Bush will be focused on legacy of his policies, Gates on Senate confirmation, and Mullen on how it goes down with force (the senior leadership). If Petraeus gets it then it leads to an interesting confirmation session but he's gotta be Bush's favorite. McChrystal already spoken for plus he will get grilled over on torture. Oderieno just doesn't strike me as a diplomat. Mattis makes an interesting choice but he has the stain of Haditha trials on him. Who else?
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